Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.154057 0.175570 0.199527 0.228278 0.261965 0.300333 0.347547
2025-11-30 0.121284 0.150133 0.185529 0.232574 0.294093 0.372683 0.482095
2025-12-07 0.099362 0.130239 0.170781 0.228767 0.310983 0.425552 0.601200
2025-12-14 0.086182 0.118189 0.162553 0.229906 0.332029 0.485215 0.740600
2025-12-21 0.076112 0.108351 0.155098 0.229740 0.349635 0.541460 0.886180
2025-12-28 0.069621 0.102488 0.152128 0.235136 0.375812 0.615027 1.077174
2026-01-04 0.063847 0.096793 0.148370 0.238254 0.398155 0.685733 1.280318
2026-01-11 0.059053 0.091941 0.145141 0.241447 0.420708 0.760658 1.511029
2026-01-18 0.055504 0.088619 0.143880 0.247639 0.449458 0.852718 1.803194
2026-01-25 0.051586 0.084200 0.140139 0.248636 0.468185 0.928245 2.080574
2026-02-01 0.047994 0.079934 0.136118 0.248421 0.484248 1.001226 2.374273
2026-02-08 0.044512 0.075498 0.131259 0.245826 0.494756 1.063881 2.661606
2026-02-15 0.041153 0.071021 0.125956 0.241853 0.502163 1.122386 2.962556
2026-02-22 0.039327 0.069196 0.125493 0.247869 0.533318 1.246605 3.504626
2026-03-01 0.036581 0.065372 0.120716 0.243979 0.540541 1.311416 3.888676
2026-03-08 0.034650 0.062931 0.118430 0.245238 0.560533 1.415558 4.449481
2026-03-15 0.032760 0.060399 0.115684 0.245064 0.576891 1.513834 5.035781
2026-03-22 0.031582 0.059176 0.115526 0.250884 0.610078 1.670828 5.926481
2026-03-29 0.030281 0.057583 0.114411 0.254246 0.637313 1.817475 6.857662
2026-04-05 0.029086 0.056104 0.113387 0.257690 0.665536 1.975947 7.936953
2026-04-12 0.028217 0.055236 0.113626 0.264371 0.704658 2.184020 9.389943
2026-04-19 0.027006 0.053534 0.111805 0.265446 0.727162 2.340521 10.693100
2026-04-26 0.025797 0.051739 0.109599 0.265214 0.745651 2.488567 12.062896